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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.20vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.82+2.80vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.28+1.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.16+0.31vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.60+0.20vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50-2.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.42-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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4.8Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.08George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.31Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.2George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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3.72Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 40.9% | 25.5% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 23.9% |
| Colin Kennedy | 9.6% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.1% |
| Noah Kelleher | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| Marie Line | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 34.3% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.3% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 7.6% |
| James Morgan | 14.4% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.