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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+2.46vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+1.83vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.60+1.97vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53-1.88vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.16-0.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.60-1.03vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.82-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.83George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.97George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.12Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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4.5Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 17.4% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Colin Kennedy | 10.8% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Marie Line | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 27.3% |
| Andy Reiter | 43.1% | 24.9% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Noah Kelleher | 8.7% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 12.5% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 27.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.