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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.12vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+1.86vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+0.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.02vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.16-0.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.60-1.06vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.82-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.86George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.51Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.94George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.45Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 44.1% | 24.5% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Colin Kennedy | 11.3% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 8.2% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.5% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Spencer Nora | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 28.0% |
| Noah Kelleher | 9.4% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 11.4% |
| Marie Line | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 28.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.