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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+2.04vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.60+2.18vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.50-0.24vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.16-0.67vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.82-1.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.42-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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4.04George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.18George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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3.76Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.33Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.79Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 41.2% | 23.5% | 17.7% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 9.9% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
| Marie Line | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 22.8% | 32.4% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.5% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| Noah Kelleher | 8.2% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 16.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 24.7% |
| James Morgan | 14.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.