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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.28+2.89vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+2.07vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.15-0.43vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.16+0.24vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.88-0.32vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50-2.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.60-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.07Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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2.57Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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4.24Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.68George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.59Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Kennedy | 14.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% |
| Austin Powers | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 11.9% |
| Jack Marshall | 31.5% | 24.7% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Noah Kelleher | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| Samuel Mandell | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| Alec Chicoine | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.