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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.28+2.89vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+1.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.16+1.19vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.88+0.68vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.15-2.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.60-0.92vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.6Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.68George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.95Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Kennedy | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.5% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 7.0% |
| Noah Kelleher | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| Samuel Mandell | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 21.8% |
| Jack Marshall | 31.0% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 32.8% |
| Austin Powers | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.