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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.15+1.67vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+1.82vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.16+1.42vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.88+0.87vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.28-0.80vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21-1.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.42-3.03vs Predicted
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8American University-1.03-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.82Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.87George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.2George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.29Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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7.77American University-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Marshall | 30.9% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 0.9% |
| Noah Kelleher | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Mandell | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 25.3% | 3.7% |
| Colin Kennedy | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 1.2% |
| Austin Powers | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 1.0% |
| James Morgan | 14.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Milite | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 90.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.