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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.09vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+3.87vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.45+1.21vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.370.00vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering-0.96+0.31vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.65-2.09vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01+0.52vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-0.59vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.73-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Fairfield University0.5923.1%1st Place
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2.73Salve Regina University0.4630.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.5%1st Place
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5.21Bentley University-0.458.1%1st Place
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5.0Middlebury College-0.379.6%1st Place
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6.31Olin College of Engineering-0.965.3%1st Place
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4.91Bates College-0.659.2%1st Place
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8.52Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.4%1st Place
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8.19Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.822.5%1st Place
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9.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.510.9%1st Place
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5.77McGill University-0.736.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.1% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 30.0% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
| John O'Connell | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Greta Shuster | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jason Dank | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 23.8% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 23.9% | 18.1% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 45.8% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.