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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+2.70vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+2.12vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+1.31vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.15-1.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42-1.03vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.16-1.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.88-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.31Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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2.77Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.4Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.73George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 12.3% |
| Austin Powers | 11.0% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| Jack Marshall | 29.3% | 21.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| James Morgan | 12.0% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% |
| Noah Kelleher | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| Samuel Mandell | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.