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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.81+1.77vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.50+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.83vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+0.60vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.74-0.26vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.85-1.45vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.04-2.84vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.22-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35College of Charleston2.600.4%1st Place
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3.77University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
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4.24Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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5.6Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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5.74Clemson University0.740.1%1st Place
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5.55North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 36.8% | 26.4% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 14.2% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Cassie Todd | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| Darby Reddaway | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% |
| Abbie Probst | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 10.6% |
| Anna Palmer | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.