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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.50+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.81+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+2.93vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.74+1.63vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60-2.69vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-0.26vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.04-1.86vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.85-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.22-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.78University of South Florida1.810.1%1st Place
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5.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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5.63Clemson University0.740.1%1st Place
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2.31College of Charleston2.600.4%1st Place
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5.74Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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5.14Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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5.51North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Huebschmann | 11.7% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Darcy Jensen | 12.4% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Cassie Todd | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.3% |
| Abbie Probst | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% |
| Mary Dahl | 41.1% | 24.6% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.9% |
| Anna Palmer | 7.9% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 7.2% |
| Kara Wheeler | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.