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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+5.35vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+3.65vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.73+1.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+2.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.19+0.32vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.99+2.90vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.89-0.60vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.65-1.05vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.16-0.29vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.15-4.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.84vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.54+0.41vs Predicted
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15University of Florida2.50-5.38vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.13-0.98vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.51-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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5.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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4.63Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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10.9Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.95SUNY Maritime College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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14.41McGill University0.540.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Florida2.500.0%1st Place
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15.02Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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16.63University of Connecticut-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Herring | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Davis | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Andrews | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fohl | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 30.1% | 35.8% | 6.2% |
| Caroline Wright | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 24.2% | 43.0% | 13.3% |
| Doug Harrison | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.