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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.14vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.78vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.45+2.23vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.65+1.05vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering-0.96+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+0.87vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.73-1.19vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.37-3.03vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.94vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Fairfield University0.5924.5%1st Place
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2.78Salve Regina University0.4628.1%1st Place
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5.23Bentley University-0.457.6%1st Place
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5.05Bates College-0.658.6%1st Place
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6.28Olin College of Engineering-0.965.9%1st Place
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6.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.8%1st Place
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5.81McGill University-0.737.3%1st Place
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4.97Middlebury College-0.378.5%1st Place
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8.06Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.822.7%1st Place
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8.54Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.7%1st Place
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9.3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.511.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 24.5% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.1% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Kai Latham | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.0% |
| Curtis Mallory | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 16.6% |
| Jason Dank | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 24.1% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 19.6% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.