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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.23+3.08vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.30+2.14vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67-1.03vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.15+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.63vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.77-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.80+0.55vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15-1.48vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.69-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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4.14Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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1.97College of Charleston2.670.5%1st Place
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4.16Eckerd College1.150.1%1st Place
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4.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
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4.89Clemson University0.770.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Miami-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.52Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.33North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Stukbauer | 11.4% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Shaynah True | 8.4% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Nikki Medley | 48.0% | 25.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 10.6% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Kailey Savacool | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Sally Key | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Gassner | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 25.2% | 41.7% |
| Lauren Yapp | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| Paulina Spencer | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 26.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.