← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Elizabeth Pemberton 44.6% 27.3% 13.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sally Key 4.1% 6.0% 10.5% 15.0% 15.4% 18.8% 17.5% 9.7% 3.0%
Hana Zwick 16.1% 20.8% 19.1% 16.2% 14.4% 9.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Shaynah True 11.0% 14.8% 15.5% 17.3% 17.8% 11.7% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7%
Kelly Stukbauer 10.0% 14.8% 17.5% 15.4% 13.7% 14.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.3%
Kailey Savacool 8.5% 8.7% 14.2% 15.7% 17.8% 16.8% 11.7% 5.5% 1.1%
Paulina Spencer 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 7.6% 15.1% 27.6% 36.1%
Olivia Gassner 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 5.3% 6.1% 13.9% 23.2% 42.3%
Lauren Yapp 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 5.4% 7.3% 14.5% 21.1% 25.8% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.