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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.23+2.43vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.77+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.50vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+1.52vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.30-2.90vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.69-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.80-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04College of Charleston2.730.4%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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3.36Eckerd College1.770.2%1st Place
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4.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.06Clemson University0.770.1%1st Place
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4.1Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.42North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Miami-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 44.5% | 27.6% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 7.1% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 16.5% | 20.0% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Savacool | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Yapp | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 21.4% | 17.9% |
| Sally Key | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Shaynah True | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Paulina Spencer | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 29.7% | 34.8% |
| Olivia Gassner | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 26.7% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.