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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.79vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.59+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+3.87vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.45+1.32vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.73+0.80vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.65-0.87vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.37-1.95vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01+0.51vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.96-2.77vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33-2.77vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Salve Regina University0.4629.3%1st Place
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3.18Fairfield University0.5922.6%1st Place
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6.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.5%1st Place
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5.32Bentley University-0.458.0%1st Place
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5.8McGill University-0.735.7%1st Place
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5.13Bates College-0.658.5%1st Place
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5.05Middlebury College-0.379.3%1st Place
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8.51Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.9%1st Place
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6.23Olin College of Engineering-0.965.8%1st Place
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7.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.333.8%1st Place
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9.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 29.3% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 22.6% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 4.9% |
| John O'Connell | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Curtis Mallory | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Jason Dank | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 28.4% | 20.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 6.0% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 15.3% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.