← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.79+1.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota0.84+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-1.78+3.06vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.27-0.90vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University1.11-1.65vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin1.34-3.00vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-2.53-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.36University of Wisconsin1.790.4%1st Place
-
3.59University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
-
6.06Northwestern University-1.780.0%1st Place
-
3.1Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
-
3.35Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
-
3.0University of Wisconsin1.340.2%1st Place
-
6.54University of Illinois-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Groskopf | 35.1% | 24.4% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 11.3% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 28.6% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Thornton Uhl | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 54.4% | 33.8% |
| Jacob Bruce | 17.8% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 14.5% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 23.4% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 19.8% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Angus Inman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 29.1% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.