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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.78+7.49vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.97vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+5.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+6.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.50+0.80vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+0.30vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+2.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19-1.01vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.65+0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.62-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.87+0.37vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.34-3.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.82vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.72-7.04vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.61-7.52vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.18-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.2Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.33Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.5Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.96Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.48Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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11.17Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Bowers | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% |
| Tedd Himler | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| David Thompson | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 25.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| John Renehan | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.