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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.20vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.80vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.65+2.07vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.45+1.16vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.73+0.79vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.08vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.60vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-0.46vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Fairfield University0.5923.9%1st Place
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2.8Salve Regina University0.4628.7%1st Place
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5.07Bates College-0.658.1%1st Place
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5.16Bentley University-0.458.0%1st Place
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5.79McGill University-0.737.2%1st Place
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4.99Middlebury College-0.379.9%1st Place
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6.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.9%1st Place
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6.4Olin College of Engineering-0.964.8%1st Place
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8.54Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.6%1st Place
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7.16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.333.4%1st Place
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9.97University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.9% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.7% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| John O'Connell | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Curtis Mallory | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Kai Latham | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Jason Dank | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 28.3% | 20.2% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.