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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.79-0.53vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.52+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-2.06+1.16vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.88-1.27vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.13-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of Wisconsin1.510.5%1st Place
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3.63University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.47University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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4.25Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.73Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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4.95Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 50.6% | 28.7% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 9.3% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Melinda Lee | 24.1% | 34.6% | 21.4% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Li | 6.0% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 6.0% |
| Christian Palo | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 61.2% |
| Jennie Werner | 4.4% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 22.7% | 14.5% |
| Abby Byrne | 4.6% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 29.9% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.