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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.79+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.66vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.52+0.27vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.13-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.06-0.83vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.88-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78University of Wisconsin1.510.5%1st Place
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2.46University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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3.66University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.27Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.07Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.59Northwestern University-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 52.0% | 27.6% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Melinda Lee | 24.1% | 33.7% | 22.4% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.6% | 14.6% | 23.4% | 24.7% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Li | 5.7% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 23.6% | 17.4% | 6.8% |
| Abby Byrne | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 28.4% | 19.6% |
| Christian Palo | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 60.5% |
| Jennie Werner | 5.0% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 24.8% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.