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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.79+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.33vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.88-0.24vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.52-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.06-0.84vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.13-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76University of Wisconsin1.510.5%1st Place
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2.46University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.76Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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4.25Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.93Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 52.6% | 28.4% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 24.6% | 33.4% | 22.4% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.8% | 14.3% | 23.4% | 22.8% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 2.5% |
| Jennie Werner | 3.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 22.8% | 25.0% | 12.9% |
| Zachary Li | 5.7% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 7.5% |
| Christian Palo | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 60.8% |
| Abby Byrne | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 20.3% | 29.5% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.