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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51-0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.79-0.25vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.13+1.09vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.88-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.06-0.91vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.36-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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1.97University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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2.75University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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5.09Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.73Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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5.19Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 33.4% | 32.3% | 21.1% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 41.0% | 31.2% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 18.2% | 22.8% | 34.8% | 15.8% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Abby Byrne | 1.2% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 17.6% | 26.5% | 27.1% | 15.8% |
| Jennie Werner | 2.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 26.4% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 10.5% |
| Christian Palo | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 54.4% |
| Jonathan Atler | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 30.0% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.