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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.31+0.19vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.88+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.79-1.25vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.13+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.06-0.90vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.36-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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2.19University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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4.69Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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2.75University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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5.05Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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5.21Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 39.7% | 30.3% | 21.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Sullivan | 30.7% | 33.8% | 23.9% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 23.5% | 27.6% | 21.1% | 10.1% |
| Melinda Lee | 19.5% | 22.9% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Abby Byrne | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 20.6% | 25.3% | 25.4% | 16.5% |
| Christian Palo | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 21.3% | 53.6% |
| Jonathan Atler | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 22.5% | 30.2% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.