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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+0.75vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.13+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.52-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.79-3.46vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.88-2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.06-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75University of Wisconsin1.510.5%1st Place
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5.06Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
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3.64University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.26Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 52.6% | 28.6% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abby Byrne | 2.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 29.1% | 18.3% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 9.2% | 14.6% | 24.1% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Li | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 6.9% |
| Melinda Lee | 22.9% | 33.1% | 23.5% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jennie Werner | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 22.7% | 23.9% | 13.6% |
| Christian Palo | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.