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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+0.79vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.79-0.51vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.88+0.76vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.13+0.06vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.52-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-2.06-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79University of Wisconsin1.510.5%1st Place
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3.62University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.49University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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4.76Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.06Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.22Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 51.3% | 28.1% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 10.0% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 23.0% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 2.7% |
| Melinda Lee | 23.6% | 34.2% | 21.9% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jennie Werner | 3.4% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 12.3% |
| Abby Byrne | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 28.5% | 19.0% |
| Zachary Li | 6.5% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 6.9% |
| Christian Palo | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.