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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+4.95vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+6.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+6.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+3.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.50+0.80vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+5.35vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+1.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.61+0.60vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-0.85vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-0.61vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.01vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-4.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.87-2.52vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.92-7.85vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.34-6.37vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.78-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.15Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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11.35Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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9.15Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.39Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.15Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thompson | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 24.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.