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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.84vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.45+3.21vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.59+0.18vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.65+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.94vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-0.95vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.73-1.12vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33-0.89vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.96-2.74vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.59vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Salve Regina University0.4628.7%1st Place
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5.21Bentley University-0.458.1%1st Place
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3.18Fairfield University0.5923.1%1st Place
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5.13Bates College-0.658.3%1st Place
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6.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.2%1st Place
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5.05Middlebury College-0.379.6%1st Place
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5.88McGill University-0.736.2%1st Place
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7.11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.333.8%1st Place
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6.26Olin College of Engineering-0.966.7%1st Place
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8.41Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.8%1st Place
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9.98University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 28.7% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.1% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kai Latham | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 4.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 5.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Jason Dank | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 28.5% | 19.4% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 15.1% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.