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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.79+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51-0.22vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.88+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.35vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.13+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-2.06+0.14vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.52-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Illinois0.790.3%1st Place
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1.78University of Wisconsin1.510.5%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University-0.880.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.11Marquette University-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Minnesota-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.11Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melinda Lee | 26.2% | 29.3% | 22.9% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 49.7% | 30.5% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennie Werner | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 25.2% | 12.6% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 9.3% | 14.7% | 22.9% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 2.7% |
| Abby Byrne | 2.6% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 21.9% | 27.8% | 19.8% |
| Christian Palo | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 19.0% | 59.4% |
| Zachary Li | 6.4% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 16.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.