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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+5.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.50+3.79vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.78+5.73vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.34+5.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+3.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.00vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40+2.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+1.30vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-0.87vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.57vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.72-3.05vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.61-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.87-1.55vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.92-6.85vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.62-6.52vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.0Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.13Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.95Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.15Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.28Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| David Thompson | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Hughes | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 24.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| John Renehan | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.