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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.10vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+3.07vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.73+2.83vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.96+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.89vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.45-0.81vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33+0.11vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01+0.59vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.65-3.83vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-0.06vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Fairfield University0.5923.5%1st Place
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5.07Middlebury College-0.378.9%1st Place
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5.83McGill University-0.736.8%1st Place
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6.33Olin College of Engineering-0.965.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.5%1st Place
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5.19Bentley University-0.458.2%1st Place
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7.11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.333.5%1st Place
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8.59Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.9%1st Place
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5.17Bates College-0.658.9%1st Place
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9.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.8%1st Place
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2.78Salve Regina University0.4628.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.5% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 4.6% |
| John O'Connell | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 6.4% |
| Jason Dank | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 30.0% | 20.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 62.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.7% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.