Race 1A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Duncan 3.9% 4.9% 8.4% 7.8% 9.7% 12.7% 14.5% 15.6% 13.4% 7.7% 1.4%
Charles Welsh 31.9% 24.9% 16.4% 11.8% 7.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 10.1% 11.3% 12.7% 13.3% 13.7% 12.9% 11.7% 7.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 8.7% 9.8% 11.2% 12.4% 14.6% 13.2% 11.5% 9.4% 5.8% 3.0% 0.4%
Bayard Lalor 6.6% 7.4% 8.4% 10.4% 10.8% 9.8% 13.9% 13.5% 11.3% 6.9% 1.0%
Charlie Blasberg 11.2% 12.1% 13.1% 14.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.2%
Samuel Wright 5.2% 3.7% 5.1% 7.6% 8.5% 10.1% 12.3% 14.9% 16.2% 13.1% 3.3%
Frank Reeg 17.2% 19.6% 17.0% 14.2% 11.0% 9.9% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 3.0% 3.6% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 7.6% 9.0% 15.2% 19.8% 20.8% 7.2%
Kelsey Martins 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 5.7% 7.7% 9.5% 17.0% 33.4% 11.8%
Hanna Desilets 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 5.2% 11.1% 74.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.