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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.66+2.94vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81-0.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+0.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.84-1.44vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.22-1.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.08-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.54vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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4.94University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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2.8Boston University2.810.3%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.94Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 16.2% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Welsh | 28.4% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| John Duncan | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 21.5% | 4.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 32.5% | 14.6% |
| Samuel Wright | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.