Race 3A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlie Blasberg 9.4% 12.3% 13.9% 13.7% 14.7% 13.3% 10.3% 6.9% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Charles Welsh 31.8% 23.5% 16.2% 11.9% 9.0% 3.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Frank Reeg 15.7% 17.7% 15.6% 15.1% 12.4% 9.6% 8.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 5.5% 6.8% 7.1% 8.2% 11.2% 12.5% 13.3% 16.4% 10.6% 7.1% 1.3%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 9.6% 10.7% 14.2% 10.9% 11.3% 13.2% 11.9% 9.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Noah Brayer 2.5% 2.8% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 8.5% 8.7% 14.4% 19.3% 21.9% 6.2%
John Duncan 6.6% 6.2% 7.2% 10.4% 9.3% 13.5% 12.9% 13.5% 12.1% 6.8% 1.5%
Pierre DuPont 12.4% 13.1% 13.0% 14.4% 12.6% 10.5% 10.6% 6.5% 5.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Samuel Wright 4.3% 4.3% 4.6% 5.7% 7.5% 9.2% 12.1% 15.8% 17.2% 14.5% 4.8%
Kelsey Martins 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 5.1% 4.6% 6.7% 10.3% 16.7% 33.8% 11.9%
Hanna Desilets 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 6.1% 10.8% 73.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.