Race 4A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlie Blasberg 9.7% 12.7% 12.7% 13.3% 14.1% 14.3% 10.5% 8.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Charles Welsh 31.6% 23.0% 16.8% 13.7% 8.1% 3.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 3.0% 3.2% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 6.8% 10.2% 14.9% 18.2% 23.8% 6.3%
Frank Reeg 15.0% 16.8% 16.5% 14.8% 13.3% 10.3% 6.6% 3.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 6.9% 6.7% 8.1% 9.2% 11.6% 10.6% 14.2% 14.1% 11.2% 6.9% 0.5%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 9.8% 9.5% 12.0% 12.7% 13.0% 13.6% 10.8% 9.1% 6.5% 2.9% 0.1%
Samuel Wright 5.0% 3.9% 5.0% 6.1% 9.3% 10.3% 12.4% 14.6% 17.4% 13.2% 2.8%
Pierre DuPont 11.2% 14.2% 14.1% 13.6% 11.0% 12.1% 9.7% 8.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Kelsey Martins 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 4.1% 8.5% 10.0% 18.1% 31.9% 13.8%
John Duncan 5.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 12.2% 13.3% 13.1% 13.2% 7.5% 1.3%
Hanna Desilets 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 1.9% 1.6% 3.2% 5.7% 10.6% 74.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.