Race 5A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Welsh 30.0% 23.9% 18.3% 12.1% 8.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlie Blasberg 12.0% 11.9% 14.8% 13.6% 12.9% 11.7% 10.0% 6.8% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 13.4% 11.9% 13.8% 12.4% 11.0% 5.4% 2.9% 0.1%
Frank Reeg 15.8% 16.7% 16.9% 14.8% 12.2% 11.4% 6.3% 4.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 11.9% 14.2% 11.3% 13.2% 12.5% 10.9% 12.3% 7.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 5.4% 7.0% 8.4% 10.1% 11.4% 11.3% 13.6% 13.2% 10.2% 7.8% 1.6%
Noah Brayer 3.4% 4.3% 3.1% 4.7% 6.4% 9.9% 8.9% 14.7% 19.8% 19.4% 5.4%
John Duncan 5.9% 6.1% 8.5% 8.5% 11.7% 11.1% 12.4% 13.3% 12.1% 9.1% 1.3%
Samuel Wright 3.9% 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 8.0% 8.5% 12.5% 15.0% 18.9% 14.0% 4.5%
Kelsey Martins 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.7% 8.1% 10.9% 16.9% 32.5% 12.5%
Hanna Desilets 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 5.2% 11.1% 74.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.