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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.07vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.82vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.96+3.38vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.45+1.12vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+0.05vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33+1.16vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.65-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.07vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.73-3.10vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Fairfield University0.5924.0%1st Place
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2.82Salve Regina University0.4628.3%1st Place
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6.38Olin College of Engineering-0.965.3%1st Place
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5.12Bentley University-0.459.2%1st Place
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5.05Middlebury College-0.379.1%1st Place
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7.16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.333.6%1st Place
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5.16Bates College-0.659.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.4%1st Place
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5.9McGill University-0.735.5%1st Place
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8.52Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.7%1st Place
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9.91University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 24.0% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.3% | 23.9% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| John O'Connell | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 5.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Kai Latham | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 5.1% |
| Curtis Mallory | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Jason Dank | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 27.9% | 21.2% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 15.9% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.