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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.62+8.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.50+3.86vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+9.06vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92+4.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.10vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78+2.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-0.91vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.61+1.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.85vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-0.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-1.67vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-4.90vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-3.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.77vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.40-5.70vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-5.74vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.34-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.12Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.16Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.3Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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11.26Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Bowen | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| James Simmons | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 22.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| David Thompson | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| John Renehan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.