Race 6A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Frank Reeg 16.3% 14.8% 15.4% 17.5% 11.7% 10.1% 6.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlie Blasberg 10.3% 12.4% 13.1% 12.2% 13.0% 13.0% 11.7% 5.6% 5.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 12.6% 10.6% 13.2% 12.1% 13.1% 11.0% 11.7% 8.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Charles Welsh 29.7% 25.7% 15.6% 12.8% 7.4% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Shanahan 1.0% 3.5% 2.2% 3.2% 2.9% 6.2% 7.5% 9.1% 11.9% 16.7% 24.8% 11.0%
Samuel Wright 3.6% 3.8% 5.3% 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 9.8% 14.4% 12.9% 16.4% 9.7% 2.2%
Hanna Desilets 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 3.8% 5.8% 12.0% 69.7%
Bayard Lalor 6.4% 7.5% 7.5% 9.6% 9.8% 12.4% 10.2% 13.2% 11.2% 7.2% 4.6% 0.4%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 8.0% 10.6% 14.4% 10.3% 16.2% 12.3% 10.4% 8.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
John Duncan 6.0% 5.6% 8.3% 7.2% 10.0% 10.4% 11.5% 12.6% 13.0% 9.4% 5.0% 1.0%
Noah Brayer 3.3% 2.7% 2.1% 4.7% 5.8% 6.4% 9.5% 11.4% 16.2% 18.5% 14.9% 4.5%
Kelsey Martins 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 3.6% 6.8% 9.7% 11.8% 18.2% 26.7% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.