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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.33+3.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+0.75vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+2.39vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51-1.20vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.93+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.91-0.19vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.36-2.32vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.76-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.02vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-1.82-0.87vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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2.75Tufts University2.480.3%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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2.8Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
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5.76Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Rhode Island0.910.1%1st Place
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4.68Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University0.760.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.13Amherst College-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Campbell | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 28.8% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Moreno | 26.5% | 24.6% | 20.8% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Buckley | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Walker | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Morran | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Haley | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 19.5% | 34.1% | 20.7% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 20.1% | 61.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 23.9% | 29.3% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.