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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+1.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.91+2.91vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.93+1.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33-0.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.36-2.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.76-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.08vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-1.82-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
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2.74Tufts University2.480.3%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island0.910.1%1st Place
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5.89Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.92Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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4.66Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University0.760.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.14Amherst College-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 26.9% | 25.1% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 29.8% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Walker | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Caden Buckley | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Campbell | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Morran | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Haley | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 22.7% | 31.2% | 16.4% |
| Isabel Rombult | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 20.6% | 31.9% | 20.1% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.