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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alex Moreno 26.9% 25.1% 17.9% 15.6% 7.8% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 29.8% 23.2% 18.3% 11.8% 9.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Walker 5.6% 5.5% 8.6% 9.8% 11.3% 11.5% 17.5% 15.3% 10.3% 4.6% 0.0%
Caden Buckley 5.4% 5.3% 8.1% 9.7% 11.7% 15.7% 14.2% 15.7% 10.1% 3.7% 0.4%
Samuel Campbell 8.6% 11.8% 10.8% 13.4% 13.3% 13.5% 11.8% 10.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.0%
Braden Foster 6.8% 8.9% 10.3% 11.1% 14.1% 14.5% 13.5% 10.8% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Meredith Morran 9.1% 12.2% 13.0% 14.4% 13.9% 14.3% 10.2% 8.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Emma Haley 5.4% 5.3% 8.6% 9.1% 11.4% 14.1% 14.8% 14.4% 11.3% 5.0% 0.6%
Kelsey Delosh 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 5.4% 11.0% 22.7% 31.2% 16.4%
Isabel Rombult 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 4.1% 5.8% 8.8% 20.6% 31.9% 20.1%
Molly Gallagher 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 4.3% 8.6% 18.4% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.