← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.48+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.36+2.81vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.51-0.18vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.33+1.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.91+0.78vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.69vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.76-1.09vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.93-2.34vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.05vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-2.27vs Predicted
-
12Amherst College-1.82-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82Tufts University2.480.3%1st Place
-
4.81Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
-
2.82Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
-
5.06Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
-
5.78University of Rhode Island0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.91Tufts University0.760.1%1st Place
-
5.66Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
-
8.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.15Amherst College-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 27.6% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alex Moreno | 26.8% | 24.6% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Walker | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Braden Foster | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Haley | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Caden Buckley | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 20.7% | 33.1% | 20.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 30.7% | 15.6% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 18.9% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.