Race 4B

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Julien Guiot 27.5% 23.1% 18.8% 13.8% 10.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Haley 5.2% 5.3% 7.6% 9.9% 10.4% 12.8% 14.3% 17.4% 11.3% 5.0% 0.8%
Alex Moreno 27.8% 23.6% 18.2% 14.4% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caden Buckley 5.0% 7.0% 7.0% 9.1% 11.0% 14.7% 16.0% 15.3% 10.5% 4.0% 0.4%
Ryan Walker 6.5% 6.6% 8.8% 9.7% 11.9% 14.0% 13.0% 14.3% 10.8% 3.7% 0.7%
Meredith Morran 9.0% 11.0% 12.5% 12.2% 15.1% 14.7% 9.9% 9.0% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Samuel Campbell 9.6% 12.1% 12.2% 13.9% 14.1% 12.2% 12.5% 8.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 7.5% 11.0% 22.3% 29.0% 17.8%
Braden Foster 7.1% 8.7% 10.6% 11.9% 12.0% 13.9% 15.5% 10.9% 6.2% 2.9% 0.3%
Molly Gallagher 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 9.2% 18.9% 61.4%
Isabel Rombult 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.9% 5.0% 9.0% 20.7% 33.7% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.