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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+1.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+0.72vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.93+2.89vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.33+1.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.91-0.25vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.76-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.75vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.36-4.12vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-1.82+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Tufts University2.480.3%1st Place
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2.72Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
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5.89Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island0.910.1%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University0.760.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.88Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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10.12Amherst College-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 27.0% | 23.8% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 29.8% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Buckley | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Campbell | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Braden Foster | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Walker | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emma Haley | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 22.5% | 28.8% | 17.6% |
| Meredith Morran | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 61.3% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 21.3% | 32.5% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.