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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Julien Guiot 27.0% 23.8% 18.9% 15.1% 8.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Moreno 29.8% 23.3% 18.3% 12.6% 9.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Caden Buckley 5.6% 5.8% 8.9% 9.6% 11.6% 13.0% 13.8% 16.3% 10.6% 4.3% 0.5%
Samuel Campbell 7.9% 8.8% 12.1% 12.6% 14.8% 13.8% 13.2% 9.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.1%
Braden Foster 7.6% 9.7% 9.7% 11.8% 12.9% 14.6% 12.2% 12.6% 5.9% 2.8% 0.2%
Ryan Walker 5.4% 7.2% 9.2% 10.2% 11.6% 12.6% 15.3% 14.4% 10.4% 2.9% 0.8%
Emma Haley 5.5% 6.7% 7.1% 10.6% 11.1% 12.3% 16.2% 13.4% 11.2% 5.2% 0.7%
Kelsey Delosh 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 4.2% 3.3% 6.7% 10.9% 22.5% 28.8% 17.6%
Meredith Morran 8.5% 11.9% 11.9% 13.1% 11.5% 15.7% 12.4% 8.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Molly Gallagher 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.8% 8.6% 19.3% 61.3%
Isabel Rombult 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 3.7% 4.8% 4.1% 9.2% 21.3% 32.5% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.