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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+1.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+0.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.36+1.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.76+2.38vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+3.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33-0.95vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.91-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.38vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.93-4.07vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.28vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.82-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University2.480.3%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.38Tufts University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.43Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island0.910.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.93Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.02Amherst College-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 25.4% | 23.6% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 26.0% | 25.8% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Haley | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Frank Egan | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Walker | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 26.8% | 12.6% |
| Caden Buckley | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 28.5% | 19.7% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 7.9% | 19.8% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.