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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.14vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.72vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia2.39+7.66vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+2.87vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+7.87vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49+6.54vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.02vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-0.42vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-4.51vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.11-2.59vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.45-1.58vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.21-1.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.11vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-10.47vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland2.18-4.38vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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4.72Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.76George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.87Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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14.87Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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14.54Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.58Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.41Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.42Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.18Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.0% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Julian Fraize | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 18.9% | 34.3% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 29.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Austin Powers | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.