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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.23vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+7.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.00vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+5.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36-0.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.64vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49-1.59vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-0.91vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.21+1.52vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland2.18+0.85vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-6.75vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.49+0.46vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.05vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.02vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia2.39-5.12vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.45-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.23Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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10.64SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.41George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.09Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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12.52Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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14.46Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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14.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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11.34Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 18.5% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Austin Powers | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 27.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Julian Fraize | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 33.8% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.