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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.34+5.68vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+4.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+4.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+2.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+3.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.45-0.13vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+2.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+4.88vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.27+1.53vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.69+2.70vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20+0.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.37vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.37-5.66vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-5.90vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.48-5.19vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.20-1.86vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.82-5.09vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.06-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Dartmouth College2.348.8%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.4010.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston College2.029.2%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.2510.0%1st Place
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8.4Brown University1.995.5%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.4512.1%1st Place
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9.33Yale University1.574.7%1st Place
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12.88Boston University1.072.4%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University1.273.4%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University0.692.1%1st Place
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11.49Connecticut College1.203.4%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.4%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.377.9%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.5%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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14.14Salve Regina University0.200.9%1st Place
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11.91University of Rhode Island0.823.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont1.062.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Robby Meek | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Jack Schneider | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 30.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.