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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+4.55vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.76+6.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.76+4.55vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+4.71vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.36+3.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.52+1.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.50+0.74vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-0.70vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.00vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.53-1.96vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-4.16vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.93vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.35-0.81vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.08-4.31vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.50-7.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.85Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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9.57Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.04Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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14.19University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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11.69Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.89Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Megan Magill | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Lihan | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Christina Baker | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 35.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.