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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.81vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.45+3.23vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.73+2.85vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.59-0.81vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering-0.96+1.37vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-0.92vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33+0.05vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.65-2.93vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Salve Regina University0.4629.2%1st Place
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5.23Bentley University-0.458.8%1st Place
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5.85McGill University-0.736.6%1st Place
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3.19Fairfield University0.5922.8%1st Place
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6.37Olin College of Engineering-0.965.5%1st Place
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5.08Middlebury College-0.378.4%1st Place
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7.05Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.333.9%1st Place
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5.07Bates College-0.658.8%1st Place
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8.48Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.012.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.6%1st Place
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9.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 29.2% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 22.8% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 6.1% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jason Dank | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 29.4% | 20.2% |
| Kai Latham | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 5.0% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 15.4% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.