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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.54vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.77vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.16vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.41vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.52vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.39+5.78vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-2.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.19vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21+3.49vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-0.92vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-1.81vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.13vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.18vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-2.78vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland2.18-2.50vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University1.49-1.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-8.88vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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5.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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4.58Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.49Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.08Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.19Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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15.13Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.22Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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14.78Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.12Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.7% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Julian Fraize | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 35.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 30.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.