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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.09vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.14vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+3.47vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.45+6.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.09vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82-0.64vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.52vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.61vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia2.39+1.96vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-1.84vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland2.18-0.65vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.14-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.08vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-3.43vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.49-2.23vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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4.71Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.47George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.41Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.36Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.96University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.68Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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12.57Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.77Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.76Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Austin Powers | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 31.5% |
| Julian Fraize | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.