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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.17vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.21vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+2.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36-0.36vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25+2.53vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.69vs Predicted
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8Hampton University3.02+1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87+0.93vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-2.17vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.97vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.39+0.11vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-0.71vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.30vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.14-6.09vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University1.49-1.27vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-5.26vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland2.18-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.69SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.25Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.97Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.29Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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14.73Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.74Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.3% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 20.4% | 34.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
| Austin Powers | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 29.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.2% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.