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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.17vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.80vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+6.59vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+4.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.50vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.98vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45+2.55vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-1.30vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-4.51vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.03vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-0.68vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+0.47vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.14-6.19vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.10vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland2.18-4.31vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University1.49-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.59Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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5.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.55Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.7Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.32Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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8.81Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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14.61Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.6% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Austin Powers | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 30.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.