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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.86vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+4.54vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.18vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+4.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.00vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.67vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.56vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25-0.46vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-0.80vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.39+0.12vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-0.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.30vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland2.18-3.34vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.48-2.18vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University1.49-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.54Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.49George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.54Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.2Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.66Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.34Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.3Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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14.82Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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14.57Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.2% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Austin Powers | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 32.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.